X-axis: sale price change · Y-axis: net profit ($)
Executive Summary
Assessment Basis: SiteKillSwitch default
Decision: CAUTION (MEDIUM confidence). Economics snapshot: base margin 17% · equity required $395,000 · total project cost $1,580,000. Break-even per unit ($790,000) remains the primary watch item for this assessed scenario (SiteKillSwitch default). Risk signal: LOW. Primary sensitivity is exit price and hard cost discipline. Primary drivers were identified (3). Focus underwriting on the top driver set before committing to hard costs. Diligence: 3 checks were generated to de-risk key assumptions. Complete Gate 1 (zoning/yield + servicing sanity) before spending materially.
SiteKillSwitch default Profit Waterfall
Relative contribution by line item · values shown at right
Net Revenue
$1,900,000
Land Purchase
$980,000
Land Carry
$39,200
Net Profit
$320,000
SiteKillSwitch default Sensitivity Analysis
Assessment Basis: SiteKillSwitch default
Profit Curve
X-axis: sale price change · Y-axis: net profit ($)
Sale Price Change
Net Profit
Margin
-10%
$130,000
7.6%
-5%
$225,000
12.5%
0%
$320,000
16.8%
+5%
$415,000
20.8%
+10%
$510,000
24.4%
A 5% decrease reduces profit by 30%.
Risk Assessment
Sale price risk
LOW
How quickly profit disappears when sale assumptions soften.
Cost overrun risk
MEDIUM
Available margin buffer against contractor and escalation variance.
Timeline risk
LOW
Longer holds increase financing drag and delivery risk.
Investment View
Assessment Basis: SiteKillSwitch default
This memo is assessed on SiteKillSwitch default. The deal currently screens as CAUTION with medium confidence, but decision quality remains highly dependent on revenue discipline and execution.
Proceed only if
If zoning/yield changes (unit count), rerun immediately.
If contractor budget differs materially from assumptions, rerun immediately.
If exit comps soften materially, rerun with conservative exits.
Do not proceed if
Zoning/yield outcome does not support the assumed unit count.
Servicing or site constraints expand hard costs beyond assumptions.
Exit comps / absorption soften materially versus underwriting.
Decision Confidence Layer
Decision: CAUTION (MEDIUM confidence). Economics snapshot: base margin 17% · equity required $395,000 · total project cost $1,580,000. Break-even per unit ($790,000) remains the primary watch item for this assessed scenario (SiteKillSwitch default). Risk signal: LOW. Primary sensitivity is exit price and hard cost discipline. Primary drivers were identified (3). Focus underwriting on the top driver set before committing to hard costs. Diligence: 3 checks were generated to de-risk key assumptions. Complete Gate 1 (zoning/yield + servicing sanity) before spending materially.
Based on current assumptions, this memo reflects the sitekillswitch default basis. Generated 2026-03-03 04:00 PST (America/Vancouver). Refresh the memo whenever the deal record or latest screen changes materially.
Confidence Read
CAUTION / MEDIUM
At this stage, sitekillswitch default margin is 17%, equity required is about $395,000, total project cost is about $1,580,000, and break-even per unit is $790,000.
Assumption Visibility & Deal Audit
This memo reflects the assumptions captured when the latest screen was promoted into memo generation. Entered fields are shown separately from locked defaults and fields that still need confirmation.
Current memo basis: SiteKillSwitch default. Generated 2026-03-03 04:00 PST (America/Vancouver). This memo should be refreshed whenever the deal record or latest screen changes materially.
Default policy
When underwriting inputs are missing, SiteKillSwitch currently falls back to locked institutional defaults such as soft costs 18.0% and contingency 5.0%.
Investment Decision
Assessment Basis: SiteKillSwitch default
CAUTION (MEDIUM confidence)
CAUTION
Decision Rationale
Selected scenario margin is 17%.
Selected scenario equity required is $395,000.
Selected scenario total project cost is $1,580,000.
Screening score is 75/100.
Primary Drivers
If zoning/yield changes (unit count), rerun immediately.
If contractor budget differs materially from assumptions, rerun immediately.
If exit comps soften materially, rerun with conservative exits.
Risk View
Zoning/yield outcome does not support the assumed unit count.
Servicing or site constraints expand hard costs beyond assumptions.
Exit comps / absorption soften materially versus underwriting.